Armed clash: AUTHORITIES – MEXICO — Puebla, Puebla, Mexico
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: MEXICO — Uruapan, Michoacáde Ocampo, Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO — Uruapan, Michoacáde Ocampo, Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO — Jalisco, Baja California, Mexico
Armed clash: AUTHORITIES – MEXICO — Puebla, Puebla, Mexico
Armed clash: BOSS — Mexico
Armed clash: NEWS OUTLET – GUNMEN — Sinaloa, Tabasco, Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO — Sinaloa, Tabasco, Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO – PROSECUTOR — Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO — Mexico
Armed clash: POLICE — Mexico
Armed clash: POLICE – MEXICO — Mexico
Armed clash: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE — Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO – UNITED STATES — Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO — Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICAN — Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO – ITALIA — Mexico
Armed clash: MEXICO – UNITED STATES — Mexico
Armed clash: IMMIGRANT — Mexico
Armed clash: FOREIGN NATIONAL – MEXICO — Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
Armed clash: SOUTH AFRICAN – MEXICO — Sinaloa, Tabasco, Mexico