Public statement: BATTALION — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (82% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Walsall, Walsall, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM – POLICE FORCE — Southwark, Southwark, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM – WATERLOO — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Saltaire, Bradford, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Southwark, Southwark, United Kingdom
Public statement: RESIDENTS – BANK — West Bridgford, Nottinghamshire, United Kingdom
Public statement: SCHOOL — West Yorkshire, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Public statement: SCHOOL — Saltaire, Bradford, United Kingdom
Public statement: NORWAY — United Kingdom
Public statement: CABINET — Halesowen, Dudley, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — West Bridgford, Nottinghamshire, United Kingdom
Public statement: GEORGE W. BUSH – THE SECURITY COUNCIL — United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
Public statement: MAYOR — Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
Public statement: SCOTLAND — United Kingdom
Public statement: SUPREME COURT — United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM — Hamnavoe, Shetland Islands, United Kingdom
Public statement: UNITED KINGDOM – SUPREME COURT — United Kingdom
Public statement: MINIST – SUPREME COURT — United Kingdom