Concession: PAKISTAN – IRAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Concession: AFGHANISTAN – MILITARY — Afghanistan
Concession: MILITARY OFFICIAL — Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: EUROPEAN — Afghanistan
Concession: TALIBAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: HERAT – TALIBAN — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Concession: CHINA – AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN – AFGHAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: GOVERNMENT – AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Concession: GOVERNMENT – AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Concession: PAKISTAN – IRAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: PAKISTAN – IRAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHAN – MILITARY — Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: SMUGGLER – JUDICIARY — Helmand, Helmand, Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN – PAKISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN – PAKISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: UNITED STATES – THE PM — Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Concession: AFGHANISTAN – TURKEY — Afghanistan