Threat: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Threat: CAMBODIA – VIETNAM — China
Threat: GOVERNMENT — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: INDUSTRY – MEDIA — China
Threat: GERMAN – CHINA — China
Threat: CHINA — Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
Threat: CHINA – JAPAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: CHINA — Guangdong, Jilin, China
Threat: NEPALESE — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: NEPAL – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: CHINA – VIETNAM — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: ECONOMIST – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: TAIWAN – INTELLIGENCE — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: TAIWAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: UNITED STATES – CHINA — China
Threat: DEPUTY – POLITICIAN — China
Threat: CHINA – MANUFACTURER — China
Threat: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: TAIWAN – INTELLIGENCE — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Threat: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China