Coercion: CRIMINAL β PROSECUTOR β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: NORTH KOREA β NATIONALS β North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β COUNSEL β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β PYONGYANG β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β NORTH KOREA β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRESIDENT β JUDGE β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRESIDENT β PYONGYANG β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: SEOUL β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: NORTH KOREA β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRESIDENT β JUDGE β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: GOVERNMENT β North Korea
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM β GOVERNMENT β North Korea
Coercion: CRIMINAL β PROSECUTOR β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: CRIMINAL β PROSECUTOR β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: NORTH KOREA β CHRISTIANITY β North Korea
Coercion: SOUTH KOREA β PRISON β North Korea
Coercion: CRIMINAL β PROSECUTOR β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β REBELLION β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: NAGALAND β TRADER β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea
Coercion: PRISON β REBELLION β Pyongyang, P'yongyang-si, North Korea