UAL1193: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 17:38 UTC.

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

The events behind it

UAL1193: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-17 02:52 UTC
RPA4419: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-17 02:16 UTC
SKW5574: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-17 01:11 UTC
AAL2903: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-17 00:36 UTC
UAL2148: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 22:35 UTC
UAL654: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 21:50 UTC
JZA483: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 20:24 UTC
RPA4457: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 19:59 UTC
UAL1888: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 18:18 UTC
AAL1200: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 18:15 UTC
UAL511: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 17:23 UTC
UAL1048: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 16:50 UTC
AAL523: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 14:26 UTC
UAL730: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 13:34 UTC
RPA4360: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 12:59 UTC
AAL2304: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 11:50 UTC
UAL441: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 11:26 UTC
UAL1793: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 10:32 UTC
RPA4419: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 02:27 UTC
SKW5574: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%Washington (DCA)·2026-06-16 00:42 UTC

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✈️ UAL1193: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)

How accurate have we been?

The events behind it

UAL1193: Washington (DCA) → Chicago (ORD)