Public statement: CRIMINAL – CIVILIAN — Nigeria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days (55% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: NEWSPAPER – VILLAGE — Kebbi, Sokoto, Nigeria
Public statement: RETIRED – NIGERIA — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Public statement: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE – RETIRED — Chibok, Borno, Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA – GOVERNMENT — Enugu State, Enugu, Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA — Anambra State, Anambra, Nigeria
Public statement: RETIRED – NIGERIA — Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA — Anambra State, Anambra, Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA — Anambra State, Anambra, Nigeria
Public statement: NIGERIA — Anambra State, Anambra, Nigeria
Public statement: PRESIDENT — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
Public statement: RESIDENTS — Ogun State, Ogun, Nigeria
Public statement: UNIVERSITY — Kano, Kano, Nigeria
Public statement: UNIVERSITY — Sokoto, Sokoto, Nigeria
Public statement: UNIVERSITY — Adamawa State, Adamawa, Nigeria
Public statement: UNIVERSITY – STAFF MEMBER — Awka, Anambra, Nigeria
Public statement: RETIRED — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Public statement: JUDGE — Sokoto, Sokoto, Nigeria
Public statement: SUPREME COURT — Bayelsa State, Bayelsa, Nigeria
Public statement: SPOKESMAN — Alamala, Nigeria (general), Nigeria