Appeal: AFRICA – THE DRC — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: UGANDA — Mbarara District, Mbarara District, Uganda
Appeal: UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Appeal: AFRICA – THE DRC — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Appeal: AFRICA – UGANDA — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Appeal: AFRICA – THE DRC — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Appeal: AUTHORITIES – PUBLICATION — Uganda
Appeal: ARMY — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Appeal: ARMY — Buganda, Masindi, Uganda
Appeal: AFRICA — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Appeal: AFRICA – BANK — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Appeal: NEWSPAPER — Uganda
Appeal: UGANDA – MIGRANT WORKER — Uganda
Appeal: FREE STATE — Uganda
Appeal: CABINET – UGANDA — Kyankwanzi, Kyankwanzi, Uganda
Appeal: MINISTERS OF STATE – MUSEVENI — Kyankwanzi, Kyankwanzi, Uganda
Appeal: UGANDA — Mbuya, Wakiso, Uganda
Appeal: UGANDAN – MINIST — Kyankwanzi, Kyankwanzi, Uganda
Appeal: UGANDA – MINIST — Kyankwanzi, Kyankwanzi, Uganda
Appeal: FARMER – AUTHORITIES — Sembabule, Sembabule, Uganda
Appeal: GOVERNMENT — Mubende, Mubende District, Uganda