Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Iraq
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: IRAQ — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Armed clash: IRAQ — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Armed clash: BRAHMIN – IMAM — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Armed clash: IMAM — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Iraq
Armed clash: EUROPE — Iraq
Armed clash: ARMED GROUP – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: ARMED GROUP – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: TORONTO – CONSULATE — Iraq
Armed clash: ADMINISTRATION — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: ADMINISTRATION — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: PALESTINIAN – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: IRAN – VILLAGE — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – BAGHDAD — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Armed clash: KURDISTAN — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Armed clash: KURDISTAN – ISRAEL — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Armed clash: KURDISTAN – SYRIA — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – IRAQI — Iraq
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – IRAQI — Iraq
Armed clash: WASHINGTON — Iraq