Armed clash: TEHRAN – UNITED STATES — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (69% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: TEHRAN – A US — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: HAMAS – ISRAEL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: OMAN – NAVAL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: PRESIDENT – LEBANON — Iran
Armed clash: TEHRAN – UNITED STATES — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: INTELLIGENCE – IRAN — Iran
Armed clash: NAVAL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: CIVILIAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: ISRAEL – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: ISRAEL – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: IRAN – BAHRAIN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: IRAN – KUWAIT — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: IRAN – KUWAIT — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: ISRAEL – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: COMMENTATOR – IRAN — Iran
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – TEHRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Armed clash: IRAN — Qaleh Kohneh, Fars, Iran
Armed clash: IRAN — Iran
Armed clash: REGIME — Iran