Intent to cooperate: POLICE — Zamfara State, Zamfara, Nigeria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- 🚨 Flash Flood Warning issued June 17 at 4:01AM CDT until June 17 at 6:15AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX 🚨 Additional Details Here.
- Assault: UNITED KINGDOM — Rybinsk, Yaroslavskaya Oblast', Russia
- Consultation: PRIME MINISTER – SLOVAKIA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: KUWAIT — Pakistan
- Public statement: BRAZIL — Limeira, SãPaulo, Brazil
- Diplomatic cooperation: MINIST OF ENERGY – KING — Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: IRAN — Castel Gandolfo, Lazio, Italy
- Armed clash: INDUSTRY — Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: ADMINISTRATION — Ikere-Ekiti, Ekiti, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – RULER — Ekiti State, Ekiti, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: PRESIDENT – NIGERIA — Ekiti State, Ekiti, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: ADMINISTRATION – NIGERIA — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – JUDGE — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNOR — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – ADMINISTRATION — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: JUDGE – NIGERIA — Enugu, Enugu, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: GOVERNOR – NIGERIA — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: CRIMINAL — Oyo State, Oyo, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: OGONI – POLITICAL PARTY — Ibibia, Abia, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: OGONI – POLITICAL PARTY — Rivers State, Rivers, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: DIRECTOR GENERAL — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: MINIST OF DEFENCE – NIGERIA — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – DIRECTOR GENERAL — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: NIGERIA – AFRICA — Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
Intent to cooperate: AFRICA — Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria