Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 5:21AM EDT until June 17 at 6:15AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 21:40 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 5:46AM EDT until June 17 at 6:15AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 5:21AM EDT until June 17 at 6:15AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 3:29AM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston SC
Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 12:59AM EDT until June 17 at 2:30AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 11:33PM CDT until June 17 at 12:30AM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Special Marine Warning issued June 17 at 12:21AM EDT until June 17 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 11:36PM EDT until June 17 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 11:32PM EDT until June 17 at 12:15AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 10:39PM EDT until June 17 at 12:15AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 9:26PM EDT until June 16 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 8:56PM EDT until June 16 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 8:51PM EDT until June 16 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 7:46PM CDT until June 16 at 8:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 7:44PM CDT until June 16 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 7:43PM CDT until June 16 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 8:28PM EDT until June 16 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 7:10PM CDT until June 16 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 7:58PM EDT until June 16 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 6:49PM CDT until June 16 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 6:30PM CDT until June 16 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL