Aid provision: STUDENT β NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: WORKER β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β CHINA β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β Leuven, Gelderland, Netherlands
Aid provision: HOLLAND β Heerlen, Limburg, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: EUROPE β NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: FIREFIGHTER β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: DUTCH β Netherlands
Aid provision: DUTCH β Netherlands
Aid provision: EUROPE β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β CHINA β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: NETHERLANDS β Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, Netherlands
Aid provision: FRANCE β IRAN β Netherlands
Aid provision: FRANCE β UNITED STATES β Netherlands
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM β IRAN β Netherlands
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM β UNITED STATES β Netherlands
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM β UNITED STATES β Netherlands
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM β IRAN β Netherlands
Aid provision: FRANCE β IRAN β Netherlands