Threat: PROTESTER — France
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Threat: UNITED KINGDOM – RUSSIA — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Threat: ACTOR — Evian-Les-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Threat: FRANCE – UNITED KINGDOM — Cherbourg, Basse-Normandie, France
Threat: FRANCE — Tregastel, Bretagne, France
Threat: ISRAEL — France
Threat: MINIST OF DEFENCE – RUSSIA — Evian, RhôAlpes, France
Threat: PROTESTER — France
Threat: AUTHORITIES — France
Threat: BALINESE – BRAZIL — France
Threat: FRENCH — France
Threat: FRANCE – FRENCH — France
Threat: GERMANY — France
Threat: EUROPEAN – MEDIA — France
Threat: FRANCE – UNITED STATES — Evianles-Bains, RhôAlpes, France
Threat: FRANCE – FRENCH — France
Threat: FRANCE – GOVERNMENT — France
Threat: INTELLIGENCE — France
Threat: UNITED STATES — France
Threat: COMPANIES – UNITED STATES — France
Threat: FRENCH – INTELLIGENCE — Paris, France (general), France