Armed clash: SWEDEN – DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO — Sweden
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days (67% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: SWEDEN – PUBLISHER — Sweden
Armed clash: PUBLISHER — Sweden
Armed clash: SWEDEN – POLICE — Sweden
Armed clash: SUDAN – UNITED KINGDOM — Uppsala, Uppsala Lan, Sweden
Armed clash: SWEDEN — Sweden
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – SWEDEN — Sweden
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – SWEDEN — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – SIERRA LEONE — Sweden
Armed clash: NORWAY – THAILAND — Sweden
Armed clash: RUSSIA – SIERRA LEONE — Sweden
Armed clash: RUSSIA – THAILAND — Sweden
Armed clash: RUSSIA – TURKEY — Sweden
Armed clash: SWEDEN – TANZANIA — Sweden
Armed clash: NORWAY – DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO — Sweden
Armed clash: NORWAY – SIERRA LEONE — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – SUDAN — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – GUATEMALA — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – THAILAND — Sweden
Armed clash: BELGIUM – TURKEY — Sweden