Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — Todmorden, Calderdale, United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (82% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — Upwey, Dorset, United Kingdom
Rejection: GOVERNMENT — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — Chipping Norton, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
Rejection: PALESTINIAN – OSLO — Northern Ireland, Craigavon, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — Glasgow, Glasgow City, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM – IRELAND — Glasgow, Glasgow City, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Rejection: PRISON — United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM – THE EUROPEAN UNION — United Kingdom
Rejection: CAPTAIN – TANKER — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Rejection: GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL — Berkshire, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Rejection: CAPTAIN – TANKER — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Rejection: MISSOURI — United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — East Riding, East Riding of Yorkshire, United Kingdom
Rejection: IRAN – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Rejection: PROFESSOR – FARMER — United Kingdom
Rejection: SWISS – POPULATION — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM – KING — Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom
Rejection: UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom