Assault: BUSINESS — Shanghai, Shanghai, China
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Assault: CHINA – UN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: UNITED STATES – CANTON — China
Assault: UNITED STATES – CANTON — China
Assault: TOKYO – CHINA — China
Assault: INFANTRY — China
Assault: FILIPINO – CHINA — China
Assault: JAPANESE – CHINA — Tang Wei, Guangdong, China
Assault: BUSINESS — Shanghai, Shanghai, China
Assault: CHINA — China
Assault: ARMED MEN – CHINA — China
Assault: ARMED MEN – CHINA — China
Assault: PRESIDENT – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: VENEZUELAN — China
Assault: CHRISTIAN — Hebei, Jilin, China
Assault: CHINA – CARRIER — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: CHINA — China
Assault: CHINA – TAIWAN — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: CHINA – NIGERIA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Assault: CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China