Disapproval: STUDENT — Iraq
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: SOUTH ASIA — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Disapproval: JUDGE — Iraq
Disapproval: TURKIYE – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Disapproval: WORLD BANK – IRAQ — Iraq
Disapproval: GOVERNMENT — Iraq
Disapproval: STUDENT — Iraq
Disapproval: AFGHANISTAN – IRAQ — Iraq
Disapproval: AFGHANISTAN – IRAQ — Iraq
Disapproval: THE EU — Barakah, Dahuk, Iraq
Disapproval: ISRAEL – BEIRUT — Iraq
Disapproval: JORDAN – IRAN — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Disapproval: IRAQ – KURD — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Disapproval: KURD — Uruk, Al MuthannáZ, Iraq
Disapproval: IRAQ — Iraq
Disapproval: COMPANY – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Disapproval: BAGHDAD – MINISTRY — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Disapproval: BAGHDAD – MINISTRY — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Disapproval: PROSECUTOR – IRAQI — Iraq
Disapproval: IRAQ — Iraq
Disapproval: PROSECUTOR – IRAQ — Iraq