Coercion: WEST BANK β LANDOWNER β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: ACTIVIST β LANDOWNER β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β LANDOWNER β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: SETTLER β LANDOWNER β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β LANDOWNER β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: STATE PRISON β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: STATE PRISON β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: LEBANON β Gaza Strip
Coercion: LEBANON β ISRAEL β Gaza Strip
Coercion: WEST BANK β ISRAEL β Deir Dibwan, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: ISRAEL β Birzeit, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: PALESTINIAN β Birzeit, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: VILLAGE β SETTLER β Deir Dibwan, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β Deir Dibwan, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: WORSHIPER β Deir Dibwan, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: VILLAGE β SETTLER β Deir Dibwan, West Bank (general), West Bank
Coercion: ISRAEL β WEST BANK β West Bank
Coercion: PALESTINIAN β West Bank
Coercion: WEST BANK β West Bank