Coercion: AICHI – THAILAND — Haneda, Wakayama, Japan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: JAPAN – PRISON — Kushiro, Hokkaido, Japan
Coercion: HOKKAIDO – PRISON — Kushiro, Hokkaido, Japan
Coercion: PRESIDENT – PRISON — Kushiro, Hokkaido, Japan
Coercion: POLICE – JAPAN — Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Coercion: POLICE — Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Coercion: AICHI – THAILAND — Haneda, Wakayama, Japan
Coercion: AICHI – THAILAND — Aichi, Aichi, Japan
Coercion: JAPANESE – CAMBODIA — Haneda, Wakayama, Japan
Coercion: JAPANESE – CAMBODIA — Haneda, Wakayama, Japan
Coercion: OKINAWA – UNITED STATES — Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan
Coercion: PORTLAND — Japan
Coercion: MEXICO — Japan
Coercion: UNIONS – JAPAN — Japan
Coercion: JAPAN – THE EUROPEAN UNION — Japan
Coercion: THAI – EMPLOYEE — Gunma, Gumma, Japan
Coercion: ISRAEL – IRAN — Japan
Coercion: ISRAEL – IRAN — Japan
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – THE EUROPEAN UNION — Japan
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – THE EUROPEAN UNION — Japan
Coercion: TOKYO – PROSECUTOR — Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan