Rejection: ITALY β THE EU β Rome, Lazio, Italy
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Rejection: COLOGNE β COMPANY β Italy
Rejection: ITALIAN β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: SAMOA β Roma, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: GERMANY β COMMERZBANK β Italy
Rejection: ITALY β THE EU β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: IRAN β Italy
Rejection: ITALY β Italy
Rejection: UNITED STATES β Italy
Rejection: CHRISTIAN β VATICAN β Castel Gandolfo, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: FRANCE β UNITED STATES β Milan, Lombardia, Italy
Rejection: ITALY β UNITED STATES β Milan, Lombardia, Italy
Rejection: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: UNITED STATES β ITALY β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: WASHINGTON β SICILY β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: WASHINGTON β SICILY β Rome, Lazio, Italy
Rejection: POPULATION β Milan, Lombardia, Italy
Rejection: INDUSTRY β Italy
Rejection: ITALY β Sigonella, Sicilia, Italy
Rejection: MILAN β LONDON β Milan, Lombardia, Italy
Rejection: MILAN β UNITED STATES β Milan, Lombardia, Italy