Coercion: ILLINOIS β Egypt
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: PRISON β Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
Coercion: ATTORNEY β Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β ATTORNEY β Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β ATTORNEY β Egypt
Coercion: ATTORNEY β Egypt
Coercion: AFRICA β Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
Coercion: DETROIT β Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt
Coercion: ILLINOIS β Egypt
Coercion: GERMANY β Great Pyramid, Al Jizah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Giza, Al Jizah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPTIAN β GERMANY β Great Pyramid, Al Jizah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β UNITED STATES β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPTIAN β GERMAN β Great Pyramid, Al Jizah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt
Coercion: EGYPT β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt
Coercion: UNITED STATES β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt
Coercion: ALEXANDRIA β UNITED STATES β Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt