Coercion: CAMBODIA – MALE — Thailand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: THAI – RUSSIA — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: PHUKET – INTERPOL — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: CAMBODIA – MALE — Thailand
Coercion: PRISON – THAI — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: AUTHORITIES — Kaeng Krachan, Phetchaburi, Thailand
Coercion: THAILAND – AFRICA — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: THAILAND — Kaeng Krachan, Phetchaburi, Thailand
Coercion: PHUKET – AFRICA — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: PHUKET – SOUTH AFRICAN — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: PRISON – THAI — Phuket, Phuket, Thailand
Coercion: MILITARY JUNTA – THAI — Thailand
Coercion: PRISON — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
Coercion: THAI — Thailand
Coercion: THAI – THAILAND — Thailand
Coercion: THAILAND – CRIMINAL — Thailand
Coercion: THAI — Thailand
Coercion: CRIMINAL — Thailand
Coercion: ACTIVIST – THAILAND — Bangkok, Krung Thep Mahanakhon, Thailand
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM – PRISON — Thailand
Coercion: PRISON — Thailand