Show of force: IRAN — Jark, Kerman, Iran
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Show of force: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: UNITED STATES — Kharg Island, Bushehr, Iran
Show of force: IRAN — Basij, Fars, Iran
Show of force: ARMED FORCES — Basij, Fars, Iran
Show of force: ARMED FORCES – IRAN — Basij, Fars, Iran
Show of force: ARMED FORCES – IRAN — Basij, Fars, Iran
Show of force: ARMED FORCES — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: UNITED STATES — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: RIOT POLICE — Iran
Show of force: RIOT POLICE — Iran
Show of force: ISLAMIC – GOVERNMENT — Iran
Show of force: IRAN — Jark, Kerman, Iran
Show of force: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: GERMAN – GREENLAND — Iran
Show of force: FIGHTER JET — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: MILITARY FORCE – IRAN — Qalibaf, Semnan, Iran
Show of force: WASHINGTON – MILITARY — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Show of force: REGIME – IRAN — Mahshahr, Khuzestan, Iran
Show of force: IRAN – AMERICAN — Kharg Island, Bushehr, Iran