Armed clash: AUSTRALIA — Queanbeyan, New South Wales, Australia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: POLICE – AUSTRALIA — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: POLICE – AUSTRALIAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: SOUTH AUSTRALIA — Noarlunga, South Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIAN – PAKISTAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIAN – PAKISTAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA – SOUTH AUSTRALIA — Noarlunga, South Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA — Coogee, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA – HOSPITAL — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA – POLICE — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUTHORITIES — Coogee Beach, New South Wales, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA — Michaelmas Island, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: PAKISTANI – PERTH — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: PAKISTAN – AUSTRALIA — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: PAKISTANI – AUSTRALIAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: SCHOOL — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: PERTH – PAKISTAN — Australian Islamic College, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIA — Mount Wilson, New South Wales, Australia
Armed clash: POLICE – ROBBER — Australian Islamic College, Western Australia, Australia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIAN – PAKISTAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia