Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA – SCHOOL — Cheonan, Ch'ungch'ong-namdo, South Korea
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 10 days (91% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: WEBSITE – UNITED KINGDOM — South Korea
Disapproval: WEBSITE – SOUTH KOREA — South Korea
Disapproval: COUNSEL — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: LAWYER — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: SCHOOL — Cheonan, Ch'ungch'ong-namdo, South Korea
Disapproval: COMPANIES — South Korea
Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA – SCHOOL — Cheonan, Ch'ungch'ong-namdo, South Korea
Disapproval: CHUNGCHEONG – SCHOOL — Cheonan, Ch'ungch'ong-namdo, South Korea
Disapproval: PEASANT – FARMER — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: PEASANT – ACTIVIST — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA — Samyang, Ch'ungch'ong-bukto, South Korea
Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA – COMPANY — Samyang, Ch'ungch'ong-bukto, South Korea
Disapproval: WEBSITE – UNITED KINGDOM — South Korea
Disapproval: MINIST — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA — Sewol, Kyongsang-bukto, South Korea
Disapproval: SOUTH KOREA – INTERIOR MINIST — Sewol, Kyongsang-bukto, South Korea
Disapproval: WEBSITE – PHILIPPINE — South Korea
Disapproval: GERMANY — Seoul, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea
Disapproval: NORTH KOREA – JAPAN — South Korea
Disapproval: UNITED KINGDOM – SOUTH KOREA — Seongsu, Soul-t'ukpyolsi, South Korea