Disapproval: DEMONSTRATOR — Sudan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: UNITED KINGDOM – SUDAN — Sudan
Disapproval: MEDIA – A US — Sudan
Disapproval: SUDANESE – CIVILIAN — Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Disapproval: DETAINEE — Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Disapproval: SUDANESE – CIVILIAN — Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Disapproval: SUDAN – GENERALS — Blue Nile, An Nil al Azraq, Sudan
Disapproval: SUDAN – CIVILIAN — Sudan
Disapproval: SUDANESE — El Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: SAUDI — El Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: WORKER — Sudan
Disapproval: LAWYER – CIVILIAN — El-Obeid, Shamal Kurdufan, Sudan
Disapproval: GENEVA – SUDAN — Sudan
Disapproval: ATTORNEY GENERAL — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: UN – SUDAN — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: SUDAN – CIVILIAN — Dabanga, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: UNITED KINGDOM – SUDAN — Sudan
Disapproval: SUDANESE – DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS — Sudan
Disapproval: SUDAN — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Disapproval: SUDAN – CIVILIAN — Sudan
Disapproval: DEMONSTRATOR — Sudan