Appeal: UZBEKISTAN – UNITED STATES — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 13 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: CAPTAIN – UNITED STATES — United States
Appeal: SPOKESMAN – POLICE — Nebraska, United States
Appeal: HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES – WORKER — Vermont, United States
Appeal: HAWAIIAN — Hawaii, United States
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Chicago, Illinois, United States
Appeal: OKLAHOMA CITY – OKLAHOMA — Oklahoma, United States
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Chicago, Illinois, United States
Appeal: CALIFORNIA – TELEVISION — California, United States
Appeal: CHICAGO – FEDERAL JUDGE — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Appeal: ALASKA – TROOPER — Alaska, United States
Appeal: ALASKA – TROOPER — Kenai Peninsula, Alaska, United States
Appeal: PENNSYLVANIA – FARMER — Pennsylvania, United States
Appeal: POLICE – UNITED STATES — Kenai Peninsula, Alaska, United States
Appeal: POLICE — Alaska, United States
Appeal: INDUSTRY – NEW YORK — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Appeal: EMPLOYER – EMPLOYEE — Utah, United States
Appeal: POLICE — Nebraska, United States
Appeal: UNITED STATES — United States
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Wyoming, United States
Appeal: UNITED STATES — Nevada, United States