Public statement: GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: PRIME MINISTER β Ilinden, Sofiya, Bulgaria
Public statement: INTERIOR MINIST β Bulgaria
Public statement: BULGARIA β ARMED FORCES β Bulgaria
Public statement: GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: DEPUTY β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: MAYOR β PUPIL β Balkan, Khaskovo, Bulgaria
Public statement: ROMANIA β PUPIL β Balkan, Khaskovo, Bulgaria
Public statement: REFORMER β Bulgaria
Public statement: REFORMER β Bulgaria
Public statement: GOVERNMENT β Bulgaria
Public statement: CZECH β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: CZECH REPUBLIC β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: POLAND β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: ROMANIA β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: ROMANIA β BULGARIA β Bulgaria
Public statement: BULGARIA β BUSINESS β Shumen, Shumen, Bulgaria
Public statement: BULGARIA β STATE HOSPITAL β Bulgaria
Public statement: BULGARIA β SOFIA β Sofia, Sofiya-Grad, Bulgaria
Public statement: RESIDENTS β Sredets, Sofiya-Grad, Bulgaria
Public statement: PRIME MINISTER β Shumen, Shumen, Bulgaria