Aid provision: POLICE – CUBAN — Cuba
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: CUBAN – FIJI — Cuba
Aid provision: FIJI – CUBA — Cuba
Aid provision: ARMED FORCES — Bay Of Pigs, Matanzas, Cuba
Aid provision: POLICE – CUBAN — Cuba
Aid provision: CUBA — Contramaestre, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
Aid provision: PARALLEL GOVERNMENT — Cuba
Aid provision: UNITED STATES – CUBA — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Aid provision: SOTO – CUBA — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Aid provision: CUBAN — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Aid provision: CUBA — Cuba
Aid provision: CUBAN — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Aid provision: HOSPITAL — Cuba
Aid provision: CUBA — Santiago De Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
Aid provision: JOURNALIST – PRISON — Guanajay, Provincia de Artemisa, Cuba
Aid provision: POLITICAL PRISONER – PRISON — Guanajay, Provincia de Artemisa, Cuba
Aid provision: POLITICAL PRISONER – CUBA — Guanajay, Provincia de Artemisa, Cuba
Aid provision: CUBAN — Juan Manuel, Provincia de Mayabeque, Cuba
Aid provision: CUBAN — Juan Manuel, Provincia de Mayabeque, Cuba
Aid provision: ARMED FORCES — Bay Of Pigs, Matanzas, Cuba
Aid provision: CUBA — Cuba