Rejection: SEPARATIST — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Please don't discount wimpy Tropical Storm Arthur, just because it seems disorganized. As NHC Senior Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart points out in 1 p.m. Wednesday public advisory, Arthur will prod
- Armed clash: SETTLER – PALESTINIAN — West Bank
- Public statement: ATTORNEY — Limeira, SãPaulo, Brazil
- Consultation: BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Concession: KUWAIT — Pakistan
- Diplomatic cooperation: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Appeal: UNITED STATES – SPAIN — Spain
- Public statement: ITALY – SAVOY — Rome, Lazio, Italy
The events behind it
Rejection: GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR – INVESTOR — Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Rejection: POPULATION – OTTAWA — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: RESIDENTS — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: POPULATION — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Rejection: CANADA – GOVERNMENT — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Rejection: MEXICAN – MEXICO — Canada
Rejection: MEXICAN — Canada
Rejection: RELIGION – COMMUNITY — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: EDUCATION MINIST – RESIDENTS — Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Rejection: CANADA – RESIDENTS — Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Rejection: CANADA — Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: CANADA – VICTORIA — Hilliers, British Columbia, Canada
Rejection: CANADA — Brookfield, Nova Scotia, Canada
Rejection: GOVERNMENT — Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Rejection: SASKATCHEWAN – BUSINESS — Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Canada
Rejection: CANADA – COMPANY — Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: SASKATCHEWAN — Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Canada
Rejection: CANADA — Caledon, Ontario, Canada
Rejection: RESIDENTS — Grand River, Nova Scotia, Canada
Rejection: CANADA – VICTORIA — Hilliers, British Columbia, Canada