Public statement: IRAQ – MINIST OF DEFENCE — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: IRAQ – HINDU — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Public statement: BRAHMIN – HINDU — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ – HINDU — Karbala, Karbala', Iraq
Public statement: CONGRESS — Iraq
Public statement: ADMINISTRATION — Iraq
Public statement: MINIST OF DEFENCE – IRAQ — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ – MINIST OF DEFENCE — Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ – REUTERS — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQI – REUTERS — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: UNITED STATES — Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ – BUSINESS — Sulaymaniyah, As Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
Public statement: KANSAS CITY — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: UNITED STATES — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: CANADA – MEDIA — Iraq
Public statement: UNITED STATES – IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQI — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQI – IRAN — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQI — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq
Public statement: IRAQ – STATE NEWS AGENCY — Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq