Coercion: ABUJA – NIGERIA — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: NIGERIAN – IMMIGRANT — Ogun State, Ogun, Nigeria
Coercion: CRIMINAL – NIGERIA — Anambra, Nigeria (general), Nigeria
Coercion: BANDIT – ATTORNEY GENERAL — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: SECURITY FORCE – BANDIT — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: TERRORIST – ATTORNEY GENERAL — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: ABUJA – JUDGE — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: ABUJA – NIGERIA — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM – NIGERIAN — Nigeria
Coercion: TERRORIST – NIGERIA — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Coercion: TERRORIST – HAUSA — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Coercion: ABDUCTOR – MILITARY OFFICER — Katsina State, Katsina, Nigeria
Coercion: MILITARY – NORTH WEST — Katsina, Katsina, Nigeria
Coercion: LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY – OPERATIVE — Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
Coercion: ETHIOPIA – OPERATIVE — Kano, Kano, Nigeria
Coercion: ETHIOPIA – OPERATIVE — Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
Coercion: OPERATIVE – ETHIOPIA — Rumuokoro, Rivers, Nigeria
Coercion: PROTESTER — Abuja, Abuja Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria
Coercion: PROTESTER — Katsina, Katsina, Nigeria
Coercion: CRIMINAL – GOVERNOR — Anambra, Nigeria (general), Nigeria
Coercion: NIGERIA — Chibok, Borno, Nigeria