Coercion: KURUNEGALA – CRIMINAL — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Valle Grande, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA – PRISON — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: PRISON – CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: PROSECUTOR – CUBA — Ciego, Provincia de Las Tunas, Cuba
Coercion: WASHINGTON – HAVANA — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: UNITED STATES – CUBA — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: UNITED STATES – CUBAN — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: KURUNEGALA – CRIMINAL — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: UNITED STATES — Cuba
Coercion: CUBA – CORPORATION — Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba
Coercion: MILITARY – POLITICAL PRISONER — Guanajay, Provincia de Artemisa, Cuba
Coercion: MILITARY – POLITICAL PRISONER — Guanajay, Provincia de Artemisa, Cuba
Coercion: CUBA — Cuba
Coercion: JUDGE – CUBA — Cuba
Coercion: EDITOR IN CHIEF – JEWISH — Cuba