Coastal Flood Statement issued June 17 at 2:27AM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 00:25 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Of 2 forecasts we committed to before the fact, 2 came true — an earned 100% hit rate, measured against reality and never asserted.
Upcoming & past forecasts
Each is a window we forecast ahead of time; it resolves to ✓ if the event recurred in that window, ✗ if it didn’t.
- 2026-06-17 22:53 UTC85% likelywaiting
- 2026-06-16 22:53 UTC85% likely✓ happened
- 2026-06-15 22:53 UTC85% likely✓ happened
The events behind it
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 17 at 2:27AM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:21PM EDT until June 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 1:06PM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Gray ME
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:26PM HST until June 17 at 6:00AM HST by NWS Honolulu HI
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:26PM HST until June 17 at 6:00AM HST by NWS Honolulu HI
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:21PM EDT until June 16 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 2:28PM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 2:28PM EDT until June 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:12AM EDT until June 16 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Miami FL
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:05AM HST until June 16 at 6:00PM HST by NWS Honolulu HI
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 3:05AM HST until June 16 at 6:00PM HST by NWS Honolulu HI
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 2:10AM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 2:10AM EDT until June 17 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 16 at 2:10AM EDT until June 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 14 at 3:03PM EDT until June 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 14 at 9:09PM EDT until June 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 15 at 5:32AM EDT until June 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 14 at 10:05PM EDT until June 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 15 at 2:59AM EDT until June 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Coastal Flood Statement issued June 15 at 2:33PM EDT until June 16 at 3:00AM EDT by NWS Gray ME