Armed clash: LEBANON – ISRAEL — Switzerland
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Switzerland
Armed clash: LEBANON – ISRAEL — Switzerland
Armed clash: IRAN — Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Armed clash: SWITZERLAND — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Armed clash: IRAN — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Armed clash: LEBANON – ISRAEL — Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE – SWITZERLAND — Switzerland
Armed clash: BUSINESS – INTELLIGENCE — Switzerland
Armed clash: SURGEON — Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE – BERN — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE – BERN — Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Geneva, Genè, Switzerland
Armed clash: CIVILIAN — Switzerland
Armed clash: POLICE — Switzerland
Armed clash: ISRAEL – TEHRAN — Switzerland
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – TEHRAN — Switzerland
Armed clash: ISRAEL – TEHRAN — Switzerland