Relations downgrade: NEW DELHI β New Delhi, Delhi, India
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (62% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Relations downgrade: KARNATAKA β Kerala, Kerala, India
Relations downgrade: NEW DELHI β New Delhi, Delhi, India
Relations downgrade: NEW DELHI β Shiv, Rajasthan, India
Relations downgrade: NEW DELHI β Shiv, Rajasthan, India
Relations downgrade: KARNATAKA β Karnataka, Karnataka, India
Relations downgrade: POLICE β India
Relations downgrade: AMIT β Tripura, Tripura, India
Relations downgrade: PAKISTAN β CANADA β Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India
Relations downgrade: BARODA β VILLAGE β Baroda, Gujarat, India
Relations downgrade: VILLAGE β Baroda, Gujarat, India
Relations downgrade: BARODA β Baroda, Gujarat, India
Relations downgrade: SRI LANKA β Delhi, Delhi, India
Relations downgrade: SRI LANKA β India
Relations downgrade: UNSC β India
Relations downgrade: GOVERNMENT β Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India
Relations downgrade: EMPLOYEE β New Delhi, Delhi, India
Relations downgrade: POLICE β Mehsana, Gujarat, India
Relations downgrade: PAKISTAN β Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, India
Relations downgrade: IRAQ β NATIONALS β New Delhi, Delhi, India
Relations downgrade: IRAQ β NATIONALS β New Delhi, Delhi, India