Protest: DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS – HOSPITAL — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days (33% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Protest: TALIBAN – THE UN — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: TEHRAN – IRAQ — Afghanistan
Protest: HERAT – TALIBAN — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS – HOSPITAL — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS – HOSPITAL — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: AFGHANISTAN — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: HERAT — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: RESIDENTS — Afghanistan
Protest: VILLAGE – AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Protest: HERAT – AFGHANISTAN — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: KABUL — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Protest: KABUL – AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Protest: VILLAGE — Afghanistan
Protest: AFGHANISTAN – TALIBAN — Afghanistan
Protest: HERAT — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Protest: HERAT – ISLAMIC — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS – HOSPITAL — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: RESIDENTS – MEDIA — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS – HOSPITAL — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Protest: LOCAL MEDIA — Herat, Herat, Afghanistan