Coercion: ISRAEL – SPAIN — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: ISRAEL – SPAIN — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELAN – EL SALVADOR — Venezuela
Coercion: MAGISTRATE – TANKER — Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Venezuela
Coercion: POLICE – VENEZUELA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: UNITED STATES – VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Coercion: CAPE VERDE – VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Venezuela
Coercion: VALENCIA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: JUDGE – VALENCIA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: JUDGE – VENEZUELA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA – DETAINEE — Venezuela
Coercion: NEW YORK – PRESIDENT — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Coercion: UNITED STATES – VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Coercion: BARCELONA – VENEZUELA — Maracay, Aragua, Venezuela
Coercion: VENEZUELA — Venezuela
Coercion: UNITED STATES – VENEZUELA — Maracay, Aragua, Venezuela