Investigation: KENYA β Samburu, Coast, Kenya
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Investigation: KENYA β RESIDENTS β Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: KENYA β Samburu, Coast, Kenya
Investigation: INTELLIGENCE β EMPLOYEE β Kenya
Investigation: POLICE β Sipili, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: POLICE β CRIMINAL β Naivasha, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: DETECTIVE β KENYA β Kilimani, Coast, Kenya
Investigation: DETECTIVE β NAIROBI β Kilimani, Coast, Kenya
Investigation: POLICE β MALE β Sipili, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: KENYA β MALE β Sipili, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: KENYA β MALE β Sipili, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: KENYAN β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Investigation: SENATOR β Kilifi, Coast, Kenya
Investigation: KENYA β DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO β Kenya
Investigation: REGULATOR β MOMBASA β Kisumu, Nyanza, Kenya
Investigation: MOMBASA β Kisumu, Nyanza, Kenya
Investigation: PARLIAMENT β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Investigation: COMMUNITY β Kungu, Coast, Kenya
Investigation: SCHOOL β COMMANDER β Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Investigation: EMPLOYER β WORKER β Kenya
Investigation: MEDIA β NETHERLANDS β Kenya