Active fire — 6 hotspots, 4 MW (satellite)
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 06:58 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Active fire — 1 hotspot, 6 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 6 hotspots, 4 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 12 hotspots, 5 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 2 hotspots, 6 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 5 hotspots, 6 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 4 hotspots, 6 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 2 hotspots, 26 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 4 hotspots, 17 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 1 hotspot, 8 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 1 hotspot, 8 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 4 hotspots, 4 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 10 hotspots, 4 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 1 hotspot, 4 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 2 hotspots, 8 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 4 hotspots, 6 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 21 hotspots, 35 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 17 hotspots, 28 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 5 hotspots, 10 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 1 hotspot, 4 MW (satellite)
Active fire — 2 hotspots, 6 MW (satellite)