Armed clash: ISRAEL – BEIRUT — Israel
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: WEST BANK – ISRAEL — Hebron, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – BEIRUT — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: NEW JERSEY – GAZA — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – PALESTINIAN — Hebron, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: LEBANON – SYRIA — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: LEBANON – ISRAEL — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: QATAR – HAMAS — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL — Jerusalem, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: LEBANON – IRAN — Israel
Armed clash: LEBANON – ISRAEL — Israel
Armed clash: MILITARY – ISRAEL — Israel
Armed clash: ACTOR — Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – BEIRUT — Israel
Armed clash: PALESTINIAN – SECURITY FORCE — Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – GAZA — Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL – SECURITY FORCE — Israel
Armed clash: ISRAEL — Israel