Threat: EBRAHIM AZIZI – LEBANON — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (70% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Threat: UNITED STATES — Virginia, United States
Threat: MILITARY – IRAN — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Threat: UNITED STATES – COMPANY — Mississippi, United States
Threat: MEDIA – PALESTINIAN — United States
Threat: EUROPEAN — New York, United States
Threat: COMPANY — Tennessee, United States
Threat: WORKER – BUREAUCRACY — Springfield, Massachusetts, United States
Threat: TEXAS — Texas, United States
Threat: UNITED STATES — Texas, United States
Threat: BORDER PATROL – MIGRANT — United States
Threat: A US – IRAN — New York, United States
Threat: VOTER – UNITED STATES — Maine, United States
Threat: VOTER – UNITED STATES — Arizona, United States
Threat: VOTER — Arizona, United States
Threat: MICROSOFT – INTELLIGENCE — New York, United States
Threat: MICROSOFT – COMPANY — New York, United States
Threat: UNITED STATES – PRESIDENT — White House, District of Columbia, United States
Threat: UNITED STATES — Missouri, United States
Threat: HOUSE SPEAKER – UNITED STATES — Virginia, United States
Threat: HOUSE SPEAKER — Virginia, United States