Armed clash: POLICE – AUSTRALIA — Mecca, Makkah, Saudi Arabia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: YEMEN — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: PORTUGAL — Jidda, Makkah, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: AUSTRALIAN – POLICE — Mecca, Makkah, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – JOURNALIST — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – UNITED STATES — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – PRINCE — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: PRINCE – DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: PRINCE – SAUDI ARABIA — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – PRINCE — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: POLICE – AUSTRALIA — Mecca, Makkah, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: POLICE – PAKISTAN — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: POLICE — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: POLICE — Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – SYRIA — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: ISRAELI – MILITARY BASE — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI – SAUDI ARABIA — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – REUTERS — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: POLICE – MECCA — Mecca, Makkah, Saudi Arabia
Armed clash: SAUDI ARABIA – YEMENI — Saudi Arabia