Armed clash: ADMINISTRATION β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: MILITARY β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: VENEZUELA β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: PRESIDENT β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: PRESIDENT β VENEZUELA β Venezuela
Armed clash: ADMINISTRATION β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: ADMINISTRATION β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: ECUADOR β Venezuela
Armed clash: ECUADOR β PRESIDENT β Venezuela
Armed clash: VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: PRISON β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Armed clash: IRAN β SCHOOL β Venezuela
Armed clash: MILITARY β Venezuela
Armed clash: MILITARY β CRIME SYNDICATE β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Armed clash: AUTHORITIES β INDUSTRY β Venezuela
Armed clash: UNITED KINGDOM β Venezuela
Armed clash: CRIMINAL β PRISON β Tocoron, Aragua, Venezuela
Armed clash: VENEZUELA β Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Armed clash: THE WHITE HOUSE β VENEZUELA β Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Armed clash: WASHINGTON β VENEZUELAN β Venezuela
Armed clash: VENEZUELA β Venezuela