Armed clash: SUDAN – CIVILIAN — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (58% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: SUDANESE — Sudan
Armed clash: SUDANESE – UNITED KINGDOM — Sudan
Armed clash: SUDAN – CIVILIAN — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Armed clash: THAILAND – CAMBODIA — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Armed clash: PRISON — Sudan
Armed clash: UNITED KINGDOM — Sudan
Armed clash: UNITED KINGDOM – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: IRELAND – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: IRELAND – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: THE UN – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: COMMUNITY – SUDANESE — Sudan
Armed clash: MIGRANT – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: CAIRO – CIVILIAN — Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Armed clash: MIGRANT – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: COMBATANT – CIVILIAN — Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Armed clash: ARMY – DARFUR — El Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Armed clash: MILITARY – DARFUR — Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Armed clash: SUDAN – ARMY — El Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Armed clash: UNITED KINGDOM – SUDAN — Sudan
Armed clash: ARMY – SUDAN — El Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan