Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β Juba, Wilayat Bahr al Jabal, South Sudan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: AFRICA β SOUTH SUDAN β Warrap, Wilayat Warab, South Sudan
Appeal: MALE β South Sudan
Appeal: SENATOR β Juba, Wilayat Bahr al Jabal, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β BANK β South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β MINIST OF FINANCE β South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β SALVA KIIR β South Sudan
Appeal: MINIST OF FINANCE β South Sudan
Appeal: MINIST β AFRICA β South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β SUDAN β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β Juba, Wilayat Bahr al Jabal, South Sudan
Appeal: POLITICIAN β SUDANESE β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β SUDAN β Central Equatoria, Wilayat Bahr al Jabal, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β Eastern Equatoria, Wilayat Sharq al Istiwa'iyya, South Sudan
Appeal: POLITICIAN β SUDANESE β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: CITIZEN β Gogrial, Wilayat Warab, South Sudan
Appeal: CIVIL SOCIETY β ADMINISTRATION β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: SOUTH SUDAN β SUDAN β Equatoria, Wilayat Gharb al Istiwa'iyah, South Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN β SOUTH SUDAN β South Sudan