Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 6:25AM PDT until June 18 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 01:29 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Of 2 forecasts we committed to before the fact, 2 came true — an earned 100% hit rate, measured against reality and never asserted.
Upcoming & past forecasts
Each is a window we forecast ahead of time; it resolves to ✓ if the event recurred in that window, ✗ if it didn’t.
- 2026-06-17 22:59 UTC85% likelywaiting
- 2026-06-16 22:59 UTC85% likely✓ happened
- 2026-06-15 22:59 UTC85% likely✓ happened
The events behind it
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 6:25AM PDT until June 18 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 6:25AM PDT until June 18 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 9:40AM CDT until June 18 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 10:43PM CDT until June 18 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 2:32AM PDT until June 17 at 3:00AM PDT by NWS Eureka CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 4:27AM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 5:08AM EDT until June 17 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 1:43AM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 11:19PM PDT until June 17 at 3:00AM PDT by NWS Eureka CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 1:19AM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Corpus Christi TX
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 1:47AM PDT until June 17 at 3:00AM PDT by NWS Eureka CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 9:24PM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 1:36PM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 10:40AM PDT until June 17 at 3:00AM PDT by NWS Eureka CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 17 at 1:55AM EDT until June 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 8:44PM PDT until June 18 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 8:44PM PDT until June 18 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 8:44PM PDT until June 17 at 5:00AM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 10:42PM CDT until June 17 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Coastal Flood Advisory issued June 16 at 11:02PM EDT until June 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington NC