Assault: MIGRANT β AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β TALIBAN β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Kakarak, Daykondi, Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β TRAVELLER β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β TRAVELER β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β KABUL β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: HUMAN RIGHTS ORGANIZATION β Herat, Herat, Afghanistan
Assault: CHARLOTTE β Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: MIGRANT β AFGHANISTAN β Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHANISTAN β Bamyan, Bamian, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β AFGHANISTAN β Bamyan, Bamian, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β AFGHANISTAN β Yakawlang, Bamian, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β VILLAGE β Bamyan, Bamian, Afghanistan
Assault: TALIBAN β VILLAGE β Yakawlang, Bamian, Afghanistan
Assault: AFGHAN β Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan