Concession: JERUSALEM β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Concession: ISRAEL β Rafah, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Concession: ISRAEL β HOSPITAL β Rafah, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Concession: POLICE β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: WEST BANK β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: ISRAEL β Nablus, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: GAZA β MILITANT β Rafah, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Concession: WEST BANK β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: POLE β WEST BANK β West Bank
Concession: POLE β West Bank
Concession: STUDENT β Birzeit, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: GAZA β Gaza Strip
Concession: POLICE CHIEF β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: ISRAEL β WEST BANK β West Bank
Concession: WEST BANK β West Bank
Concession: ISRAEL β Gaza Strip
Concession: ISRAEL β WEST BANK β West Bank
Concession: JERUSALEM β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: SETTLER β VILLAGE β Beitunia, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: SETTLER β WEST BANK β Beitunia, West Bank (general), West Bank
Concession: ISRAELI β SETTLEMENT β West Bank